Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.363850 0.431473 0.506984 0.597380 0.702476 0.820628 0.963338
2025-01-12 0.258973 0.344815 0.451050 0.591465 0.771374 0.993263 1.286677
2025-01-19 0.202436 0.293793 0.415759 0.589011 0.827015 1.140445 1.582006
2025-01-26 0.172762 0.269156 0.406075 0.612241 0.911711 1.327111 1.942168
2025-02-02 0.162238 0.268313 0.427002 0.677792 1.059188 1.611130 2.461961
2025-02-09 0.144206 0.252286 0.422027 0.702626 1.147817 1.817591 2.888664
2025-02-16 0.122900 0.227027 0.398380 0.694082 1.182460 1.944587 3.205984
2025-02-23 0.102848 0.200275 0.367998 0.669608 1.187164 2.023273 3.452648
2025-03-02 0.085466 0.175194 0.336557 0.638461 1.175814 2.072937 3.654291
2025-03-09 0.078555 0.168329 0.335952 0.660380 1.256044 2.278568 4.128001
2025-03-16 0.066879 0.150242 0.312221 0.637128 1.253434 2.342547 4.365874
2025-03-23 0.061242 0.143436 0.308826 0.651100 1.318999 2.529294 4.830218
2025-03-30 0.055545 0.135932 0.303731 0.662490 1.383450 2.724238 5.334522
2025-04-06 0.048828 0.125089 0.290451 0.656088 1.413386 2.859595 5.744020
2025-04-13 0.043364 0.116114 0.279746 0.653391 1.449842 3.009531 6.192141
2025-04-20 0.040719 0.113402 0.282270 0.678955 1.546091 3.281866 6.894849
2025-04-27 0.041484 0.119299 0.304913 0.751054 1.746310 3.773971 8.062210
2025-05-04 0.039115 0.116723 0.307530 0.778356 1.853282 4.087555 8.898739
2025-05-11 0.034820 0.108250 0.294909 0.768963 1.879003 4.237129 9.415416
2025-05-18 0.030140 0.097811 0.275931 0.742056 1.862487 4.296795 9.750999
2025-05-25 0.025733 0.087265 0.255082 0.707801 1.825179 4.308373 9.985496
2025-06-01 0.024413 0.085681 0.257462 0.731908 1.927045 4.629598 10.904469
2025-06-08 0.021216 0.077653 0.241294 0.706334 1.906965 4.679265 11.236515